Safety effects of mobile speed cameras in Norfolk: no more than regression to the mean?

BRENAC

Type de document
ARTICLE A COMITE DE LECTURE REPERTORIE DANS BDI (ACL)
Langue
anglais
Auteur
BRENAC
Résumé / Abstract
This letter is a comment on the paper by Jones, Sauerzapf and Haynes, The effects of mobile speed camera introduction on road traffic crashes and casualties in a rural county of England, published in this journal (vol. 39, issue 1, pp. 101-110, 2008). These authors analyse the effects of a camera enforcement programme on injury crashes in the county of Norfolk. The investigation reported is a sound observational before-after accident study. The paper is clear and well documented. It seems, however, that a slight error was made in the calculation of the regression-to-the-mean (RTM) effect, leading to an underestimation of RTM bias. A correction of this error would partly change the conclusions of the paper: based on the corrected results, there is no clear evidence of an overall safety benefit due to the mobile speed camera introduction at the treated sites.
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