Scenarios: deliverable n°c2 - descriptors and determinants of passenger and freight transport demand
BERRI ; MADRE ; POTIER ; BRISTOW ; CLARK ; EHMER ; ORTMANN ; STADER ; WILKEN
Type de document
RAPPORT
Langue
anglais
Auteur
BERRI ; MADRE ; POTIER ; BRISTOW ; CLARK ; EHMER ; ORTMANN ; STADER ; WILKEN
Résumé / Abstract
This report aims to analyse the development of passenger mobility patterns (part I) and factors influencing freight demand (part II), in order to better understand the long term development of transport demand. For each section there is a short presentation of the main descriptors and then a more detailed analysis of the determinants. For passengers, the determinants of short distance, long distance, and international tourist trips are discussed. One chapter is also devoted to analysis of car ownership and presents demographic modelling results for four European countries, the USA and Japan. For freight the most important external trends are identified as: globalisation, networking, information and communication technology and the greening of business. The impact of these trends on the transport system and on freight flows is also discussed.
