Short-term road traffic forecasting using the spatial structure of the trips
ARON ; DANECH-PAJOUH
Type de document
COMMUNICATION AVEC ACTES INTERNATIONAL (ACTI)
Langue
anglais
Auteur
ARON ; DANECH-PAJOUH
Résumé / Abstract
A method able to forecast a few hours in advance the traffic flow on a motorway axis with an extension to a whole network is presented. This method needs an historical knowledge of the space pattern of the traffic and the counts of the real time flows at different points of the network. The identification and the extrapolation of the origin-destination matrix are considered. The effects of saturation and of traffic control measures are partly modelled. The applications of this method on a motorway axis for the summer 1992 and 1993 are discussed.
